Season Ends but What’s Next and Why?

Brian Horaceblog, featured, General Information, Results/Thoughts6 Comments

While not the way you want your team to end the season it was no surprise to those of us who have watched Duke play this year. I recall mentioning earlier in the day at work that if I wasn’t a Duke fan and I was looking to pick an upset that Lehigh would be the one. And really aside from the seeds can one really call it too much of an upset? Duke probably played its worse basketball in the last month. The foot injury to Ryan Kelly cannot really be blamed. This was not a team built for March.

People have remarked that Duke had beaten some good teams this year but even that, aside from the miracle at UNC, happened early. The wins against MSU and Kansas were all at a time when those teams were still finding themselves. Those teams progressed, got better while Duke seemed to regress.

Team chemistry and a lack of leadership has been an issue all year long, the talent is there but clearly this is a team of individuals who never truly bought in. A team more than wiling to take it upon themselves to try to win the game instead of trusting in teammates. A team who defensively never was able to embrace that mindset. Not able to keep guards in front of them. Not able to contain the dribble drive. Not able to box out or rebound effectively.

Lehigh pretty much dominated this entire game beating Duke 75-70, Duke played well in spurts but it was clear the same disjointed and sloppy play that  seemed to be plaguing Duke the last month was not overcome. There are probably not many teams in the tournament Duke was going to match up favorably against but your hat has to go off to Lehigh, they played great, Duke did not.

I didn’t see in the eyes of the players a belief that they could win, there was not fire or passion (sans Austin Rivers) and clearly no cohesion. That’s the word I have been looking for, cohesion, this group never played like a team, it was almost like a when you are thrust into a team of guys at the gym. You don’t know their tendencies, or strengths, you don’t fully trust them. I saw lots of that this season.

While next year it’s my hope along with all fans that Duke rights the ship, it’s hard to see what will change in the off-season. We can’t make our guards faster. Yes, we will have the addition of Rasheed Sulaimon, who by all accounts is coachable and quick. We will have Marshall Plumlee and Alex Murphy as redshirt freshman, but the improvement that needs to happen must be with players like Andre Dawkins who must get better on defense and also get better offensively closer to the basket. Seth Curry, Quinn Cook and Tyler Thornton will need to be much better position defenders and rebounders from the guard position. Tyler Thornton will need to up his offensive game, lots of time shooting in the gym should accomplish that.

The position where Duke will be lacking in is on the wing, its too early to say but not likely that Duke will sign the versatile, athletic wing they covet, and while Alex Murphy has a good unique skill-set, he isn’t that. I’m not sure what happened to Michael Gbinije this season, not sure if it was nagging injuries, lack of good practices or what but he saw very little action and has not looked happy on the bench. Read into that what you will.

Ryan Kelly will have to learn to be a more versatile player as well, improvement on defense is a must, and also being able to embrace being a power forward with perimeter skills rather than just a perimeter player with size.

Questions remain as to whether Mason Plumlee and Austin Rivers will return, while neither are ready for the NBA, one never knows what goes through the minds of young men, or who is in their ear. Both need time, both have major improvements to make. Plumlee needs to not disappear in games, needs to play with fire, and work on his footwork. He also needs to be dominant, he has the skill to do so but needs to take that initiative. Austin Rivers can be a dominant player but needs to really marry that desire to take control with not alienating his teammates. Learning to trust others and pass the ball and use your teammates as weapons and not obstacles. His aggressiveness is both his strength and his weakness. At some point you have to be able to use that ability to drive to the basket as a decoy, when defenses collapse around you, hit that open man, set people up. Aside from that get a good mid-range game and he will be unstoppable, adding to his floater the ability to can a 15 foot jumper and defenses will be at a loss.

I know most will look at this as a bitter negative piece but even as a fan I cannot see a team through rose-colored glasses, it’s just an honest view of what I saw this year, it isn’t based on one game its based on a body of work and a steady decline. I am still and always be a fan, and I know that if any coach can right the ship, its Coach K. Its Duke Do or Die. Thanks for a great season team, albeit a weird one.

Thanks to Miles Plumlee the lone senior this year, good luck and you have what most covet:  a championship season, and a forthcoming Duke degree.

Thanks to all the readers as well, we will be here all the off-season with update on recruiting and what the players are up to in the summer. Keep coming back and never hesitate to chime in and give your opinions on what you see, what you like or what you don’t like.

6 Comments on “Season Ends but What’s Next and Why?”

  1. This was indeed a very strange Duke team. Not sure I would say they never bought in, but I agree wholeheartedly that they were completely dysfunctional as a “team” and limited in terms of team speed and height on the perimeter. As for Andre, he is a one dimensional player who I don’t see improving at all (remember, this was supposed to be his “break out” season). Looking to next year, I expect us to be a lot better with a healthy and more experienced Quinn Cook at starting PG. Though I love Tyler for his tenacity and leadership, how far can a team go with a PG who can neither score nor pass. Our offense was stagnant with him at the controls. I also think Alex Murphy and Mike Gbinije will shore up the forward position where we were so lacking and Sulaimon will help our perimteter defense.

  2. Dead on assessment, thanks for reaffirming what I believed. I am like admin, I am ready for next season to start now!

  3. I agreed with this article it just seemed at so many times the team was out of sync this year. There is so much Potential if they play as a team and stop jacking up 3s every time when the plumlee brothers were wide open. I could not help but think just as you that Tyler Thronton needed to work on his shot he is a heck of a defender though and his shot will improve. Well as we all know hopefully Rivers and Plumlee come back next year if so I see National Title 5! Also Coach K could we get back to some full court press B-Ball you got the guards.

  4. Just amazed me how early in the season they had that o yea we are playing for Duke. Then Ohio st ran us out of the building. The team seemed to start playing behind in games after that. There were no dominant runs. Like you said no leadership.Rivers, With a pg that loves to shoot you have to call him a sg. I don’t trust Thornton at point. Although he hit some big ones he threw away some also. The Plumtrees started playing well together, but when you don’t get the ball you can’t control the game. To many 24-25 foot fadeaway jumpers over people to be consistent. Looked like one on one. I could put together a high school team that could run sets better then they did all year. Disappointed. Very. Hope they mature and learn to play “basketball” I’ve never been this critical of a Duke team, but they really waisted talent this season. At some points I wondered if coach just said ” I don’t know they don’t listen” ” just throw any lineup in and see what happens.

  5. That’s nearly a dead-on assessment of this team. The only thing, I’d add is they truly lacked a mid-size athletic guy, which has been a hallmark of Duke’s championship teams or really a true small forward. It usually meant Andre Dawkins or Rivers had to guard the other teams small forward. Josh Hairston bulked up too much to a smaller power forward and as you mentioned Gbinije was the last man off the bench and the person best fit for this role.

    And I had the same thoughts for next year, it’s going to be the same cast for the most part, minus Miles Plumlee and probably Austin Rivers. Hopefully Mason stays. And hopefully Gbinije gets a chance to step into the rotation, Kelly and Curry provide leadership, Cook runs the show. And my biggest wish is Dawkins will either work on defense or ball handling/putting the ball on the floor, to not be one-dimensional. There’s something about him I’ve always liked, hopefully he as well can step up to his full potential.

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