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Preview: #10 Duke Blue Devils (23-6, 14-4 ACC) vs. NC State (17-12, 9-9 ACC)

Monday, March 4 • 7:00 p.m. ET
PNC Arena (19,700) • Raleigh, NC

The #10 Duke Blue Devils roll into PNC Arena to face the Wolfpack of NC State Monday night.

Series & Game Info

Series

Overall Duke leads, 151-103
In Durham, NC Duke leads, 67-30
at Cameron Indoor Stadium Duke leads, 54-26
In Raleigh, NC Duke leads, 48-44
at PNC Arena Duke leads, 9-8
Neutral Sites Duke leads, 23-17
Last Meeting @Duke 71, NC State 67 (Feb. 28, 2023)

Game Info

TV/Video Stream ESPN
Play-by-Play Dave O’Brien
Analyst Jay Bilas
Sideline Angel Gray
Producer Kim Belton

Radio Blue Devil Sports Net.
Play-by-Play David Shumate
Analyst John Roth
Engineer John Rose
In Durham 96.5 FM & 620 AM
SiriusXM 84

The Teams

NC State Wolfpack

The NC State Wolfpack roll into Monday coming off of 2 straight defeats. Their overall record is 17-12, they are 9-9 in the ACC good for 8th currently. NC State is second in the ACC and ranks 36th in the nation in fast break points with an average of 13.5 per game. The Wolfpack are positioned third in the conference and 13th nationally in fewest turnovers at 9.6 per contest.

Wolfpack guard DJ Horne is connecting on 43.1% of his 3-point shots — best in the league and 10th nationally. He leads the Wolfpack in scoring at 17.6 points per game. Big man DJ Burns is averaging 11.6 points per game along with 3.9 rebounds for the Wolfpack. Jayden Taylor and Casey Morsell round out the top scorers for NC State at 12.2 and 11.6 points per game respectively. Mohamed Diarrhea is the leading rebounder for the Wolfpack at 6.5 per contest and the leading assist man for NC State is senior guard Michael O’Connell at 3 per game. O’Connell leads the ACC and is 27th in the country in assist/ turnover ratio (2.90).

Duke Blue Devils

The Blue Devils currently own a 23-6 record with a conference record of 14-4. They are currently ranked 10th in the AP Poll and are situated at 2nd in the current ACC standings. Duke is the only team to rank among the top four ACC statistical leaders in both scoring offense (2nd/80.3 points per game) and scoring defense (3rd/66.8 points allowed per game). The Blue Devils lead the ACC in scoring margin (+13.5), field goal percentage (.486), 3-point field goal percentage (.384) and assists (15.7 per game).

Kyle Filipowski ranks ninth in scoring (16.8 ppg), sixth in rebounding (8.3 rpg), fourth in blocked shots (1.6 bpg) and fifth in field goal percentage (.504). He leads the Blue Devils in both scoring and rebounding. Tyrese Proctor has 24 assists to just seven turnovers, a 3.4 assist-turnover ratio, in his last six games played. He ranks second in the ACC in assist/turnover ratio (2.85) on the season. He leads Duke in assists per game at 3.8 to go along with his 10.4 points per game. Jeremy Roach checks in at 14.1 points per game, good for second on the Blue Devils. In conference play, Mark Mitchell is shooting 61.2% (79-of-129) from the field and 47.1% (8-of-17) from 3-point range. Mitchell freshman Jared McCain round out Duke double-figure scorers at 12.7 and 13.3 points per game respectively.

Stats Comparison

G MP FG FGA FG% 2P 2PA 2P% 3P 3PA 3P% FT FTA FT% ORB DRB TRB AST STL BLK TOV PF PTS
Duke 29 40.0 28.5 58.7 .486 20.1 36.8 .546 8.4 21.9 .384 14.8 20.4 .725 10.3 26.5 36.8 15.7 6.5 3.7 10.0 15.7 80.3
NC State 29 40.3 27.4 61.9 .443 20.1 40.7 .494 7.3 21.2 .345 13.9 19.1 .728 10.6 24.6 35.2 12.8 7.4 3.2 9.6 17.4 76.0

Stats Comparison Conference

G MP FG FGA FG% 2P 2PA 2P% 3P 3PA 3P% FT FTA FT% ORB DRB TRB AST STL BLK TOV PF PTS
Duke 18 40.0 27.6 57.9 .476 18.9 35.8 .528 8.7 22.2 .391 13.8 19.4 .709 9.1 25.1 34.2 14.7 6.3 3.6 10.3 15.7 77.6
NC State 18 40.6 26.2 61.0 .430 19.4 41.2 .470 6.8 19.8 .346 14.6 19.1 .767 9.1 23.7 32.7 11.7 7.0 3.5 9.6 17.8 73.9

Projected Lineup

Duke Blue Devils

G Jeremy Roach 6’2, 180lbs SR
G Jared McCain 6’3, 197lbs FR
G Tyrese Proctor 6’5, 183lbs SO
F Mark Mitchell  6’9, 232lbs SO
C Kyle Filipowski 7’0, 248lbs SO

NC State Wolfpack

G Michael O’Connell 6’2, 195lbs GR
G DJ Horne 6’2, 180lbs GR
G Casey Morsell 6’3, 200lbs GR
F DJ Burns Jr. 6’9, 275lbs GR
F Mohamed Diarra 6’10, 215lbs JR

Thoughts

While it’s not been the best of seasons for Kevin Keatts his Wolfpack team does possess a lot of talent and a lot of experience. In years past at home he’s been able to get his team focused on the Blue Devils, blowing them out last season 84-60 at PNC Arena. This Blue Devils team is a little older and a lot different and hoping for a different result and some redemption but it’s going to take a higher level of focus and scrappiness. I expect even though the Wolfpack are not a great shooting team from beyond the arc – they currently rank 9th – I expect them to be hot early and try to run the Blue Devils out of the gym.

DJ Burns is a force inside for the Pack but is prone to getting in foul trouble on the defensive end. Duke will not be able to muscle the big man out of the paint so Jon Scheyer and crew will have to figure out a way to stop Burns that does not give NC State open looks from 3. Offensively the Blue Devils have to avoid turnovers – if the Wolfpack is going to beat you, do not let them beat you because you beat yourselves is a message the Blue Devils need to embrace.