Game Preview: Duke Blue Devils vs Florida State Seminoles

The Blue Devils have a Quick Turnaround in Cameron VS the Seminoles

In Game Previews by Brian HoraceLeave a Comment

FEB. 10 | CAMERON INDOOR STADIUM | DURHAM, N.C. | 7 PM

Series Info

Overall: 51st meeting; Duke leads, 40-10
In Durham: Duke leads, 21-2
In Tallahassee: Duke leads, 16-7
At neutral sites: Duke leads, 2-1
Current streak: Duke, W4
Coach K vs. Florida State: 37-9

Media Info

TV: ESPN (Sean McDonough/Jay Bilas/Allison Williams)
WatchESPN
Radio: Blue Devil Sports Network (David Shumate/John Roth)
Duke Radio Affiliates
National Radio: ESPN Radio (Sean Kelleyt/Bob Valvano)
Sirius/XM: 206/194 (Duke broadcast); 80/80 (National)

The Blue Devils have a quick turnaround against the Seminoles, not the kindest gift from the conference schedulers but this should be good preperation for both the ACC and NCAA tournaments.

Duke vs Florida State

  • Duke is 40-10 all-time versus Florida State, which includes a 21-2 mark in home games.
  • Duke has won four straight in the series, including a pair of wins last season. The Blue Devils won, 80-78, on Cam Reddish’s three in the final seconds in Tallahassee on January 12. In the ACC Tournament title game, Zion Williamson scored 21 in a 73-63 Duke win.
  • Under Coach K, the Blue Devils are 37-9 in the series.
  • The Blue Devils have won eight of the last nine in the series, including a 100-93 victory in FSU’s last visit to Cameron Indoor behind 32 points and 21 rebounds from Marvin Bagley III on Dec. 30, 2017.
  • This marks the sixth consecutive meeting in the series with each team ranked in the AP Top 25.

The Opponent
The Seminoles enter Cameron having won three straight overall and 13 of their last 14 games. Florida State always presents a tough challenge, home or way but especially after a quick turnaround. Leonard Hamilton always has his team ready and they are deep. FSU has 11 players averaging at least 10 minutes. The balanced Seminoles have three scoring in double figures, while eight average 5.2+ points per game. They bring a lot of length and energy. The Noles not only bring depth and size but shooting. FSU as a team shoots the 3-ball in conference at a 40% clip and have 7 players shooting over 34% from 3 point range. Devin Cassell leads the team in scoring at 13.5 points and 5.3 rebounds, while Trent Forrest is averaging 11.3 points, 4.3 rebounds and 4.3 assists.

Duke
Duke is second nationally in scoring offense (83.1) and third nationally in scoring margin (+17.0). Duke is 11-0 this season when scoring 85+ points. Seven of Duke’s 19 wins are by 30+ points, including four ACC wins by 30+, which ties a program record. The program record for most 30-point wins in ACC play was previously set in 1997-98, 1998-99 and 2000-01. The 39-point margin in the BC win (88-49) was Duke’s largest in an ACC game since beating Georgia Tech, 110-57, on Jan. 3, 2017.

Vernon Carey Jr. leads the Blue Devils in both scoring and rebounding, nearly averaging a double-double with 17.8 points per game and 9 rebounds. Carey also leads the team in blocks at just under 2 per game. Tre Jones leads the Blue Devils in assists at 6.6 per game, he also averages 15 points and a team leading 2 steals per game. Cassius Stanley and Matthew Hurt round out the double figure scorers for the Blue Devils with 12.5 and 10.4 points per game respectively.

My Thoughts
Duke will have to recover both mentally and physically and emotionally from the comeback at Carolina. This is hopefully a chance for the Duke staff to be able to utilize depth. It will mean players like Matthew Hurt, Jordan Goldwire, Alex O'Connell and Joey Baker will have to provide not just spot minutes but contribute at a high level. With teams realzing that Duke is a different team with Vernon Carey Jr. off the floor Carey staying out of foul trouble is paramount - picking up cheap fouls by reaching or going over the back cannot happen in this game - he will have to learn to play tired but keep his mental composure. Even with Carey on the floor things can become stagnant offensively unless Duke's perimeter players are forcing defenses to be honest. If FSU decides to just "pack it in" against the Blue Devils and force them to make outside shots then they need to hit at a rate that forces the Seminoles to adjust. 

Duke will need Carey's size and defense just as much as his offense, Duke will also need Jack White and Javing DeLaurier to shoulder some of the load to keep Carey fresh and eligible. 

Most importantly, maybe, for Duke is to be strong with the ball. Duke has shown a tendencey to both not value the ball and to be weak with it. Those types of live ball turnovers have been an Achilles heel for the Blue Devils and would be a disaster against a team like Florida State who can kill you in transition.



Probable Starting Lineups

Duke

Guard - Tre Jones - 6'3, 185lbs
Guard - Wendell Moore - 6'6, 213lbs
Guard - Cassius Stanley - 6'6, 193lbs
Forward - Matthew Hurt - 6'9, 214lbs
Center - Vernon Carey - 6'10, 270lbs

Florida State

Guard - Devin Vassell - 6'6, 180lbs
Guard - Trent Forrest - 6'4, 210lbs
Guard - M.J. Walker - 6'5, 213lbs
Forward - Malik Osborne - 6'9, 215lbs
Forward - Raiquan Gray - 6'8, 260lbs

Stats Comparison

Duke FG%
48.1%
Florida State FG%
45.1%
DUKE 3PT FG%
34.9%
Florida State 3PT FG%
40.6%
DUKE FT%
69.7%
Florida State FT%
79.9%
DUKE PPG
83.1
Florida State PPG
75.6

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